ehealth digital library

Digital library of
the Tanzania

Mwanza Regional and District Projections

Mkai,, C. P. B., Kaimu, A. M., Aboud, S.M., Chuwa, A. A. , Amour, B. H. , Ntimba, G. L. , Mbonile, M., Ngalinda, I., Naimani, G. M. and Chuma, A. (2006) Mwanza Regional and District Projections. UNSPECIFIED. (Unpublished)

[img] PDF
ihi.eprints.pdf_(17).pdf - Other
Restricted to Affiliated users only

Download (1MB)


This report presents population projections for the period 2003 to 2025 for the Mwanza Region and its districts. The projections were made using a Cohort Component Method (Spectrum System), whereby three components responsible for population change, namely: mortality, fertility and migration were projected separately as well as HIV/AIDS prevalence. The projected components were then applied to 2002 midyear base population in order to come up with the desired projections from 2003 to 2025. The report gives mortality, fertility, migration and HIV/AIDS assumptions, and shows Mwanza’s demographic and socio-economic future trends. The results include estimated population by sex in single years and five-year age groups as well as some demographic indicators. The results show that population growth rate for the period 2003 to 2025 will decrease from 3.2 percent in 2003 (with a population of 2,891,952) to 1.8 percent in 2025 (with a population of 5,020,361). Sex ratio at birth will increase from 98 male per 100 female in 2003 to 99 male per 100 female in 2025. Mortality estimates show that Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) is expected to decline for both sexes from 100 deaths per 1,000 live births in 2003 to 55 deaths per 1,000 live births in 2025. Under Five mortality Rate (U5MR) for both sexes will also decline from 159 deaths per 1,000 live births in 2003 to 83 deaths per 1,000 live births in the year 2025. The mortality projected estimates further show that the life expectancy at birth for females is higher compared to that of males. Life expectancy at birth for Mwanza will increase from 52 years in 2003 to 54 years in 2025 for both sexes. For male population, life expectancy at birth will increase from 49 years in year 2003 to 53 years in 2025, while for emale population, the life expectancy at birth will increase from 53 years in 2003 to 55 years in 2025. On fertility, TFR will decline from 6.4 children per woman in 2003 to 3.4 children per woman in 2025.

Item Type: Other
Keywords: Population Projections;District Projections;Mwanza
Subjects: Demography > Population studies
Divisions: National Bureau of Statistics
Depositing User: Mr Joseph Madata
Date Deposited: 14 Jan 2013 07:22
Last Modified: 14 Jan 2013 07:22

Actions (login required)

Edit Item Edit Item


Downloads per month over past year

View more statistics